Friday, December 28, 2007

From the Department of Unsolicited Predictions

No, this isn’t an update on the site. I think we’ve had enough of those recently. This is a small tribute to our Ivy League Championship players. This is an homage to one of America’s favorite pastimes: making unsubstantiated projections. Specifically, this is my honest-to-god prediction that Yale, Harvard or Princeton will win the NCAA Division I-A Football Championship in the Next Fifty Years.

And what does this have to do with GXC? Blah blah inter-campus blah competition blah—in short, absolutely nothing.

Now that that’s out of the way: anyone who has watched a game of college football (or American football in general) in the past twenty years knows that I have to be completely off my rocker to make such a seemingly outlandish assertion. Division I-A (FBS), the technical term for what most people call “College Football,” has been dominated by the Michigans, USCs, LSUs, Nebraskas and Oklahomas for the past half century. In fact, this year marks the 80th anniversary since an Ivy League school last captured a college football championship—Yale shared the 1927 crown with Illinois.

In fact, the Ivies haven’t even been in the mix since the Ivy League athletic conference formed in 1954, with the break from mainstream college football being solidified with the Ivies’ inclusion into Division I-AA (FCS), which as far as I can understand is college football’s equivalent to playing in NFL Europe. More specifically, I-AA teams don’t offer the volume of athletic scholarships that I-A teams do, so the NCAA figures that they shouldn’t play on the same field. Occasionally shit happens, but in general the system stays in equilibrium.

The Ivies, keeping with tradition, don’t offer any athletic scholarships and actually abstain from the I-AA playoff. A significant portion of football recruits come from less-than-WASPish backgrounds and need the scholarship money to attend school, and some like the opportunities to go pro that playing for Michigan or LSU can afford.

Thus, the Ivies have lost top recruits and slowly slipped out of the football world.

Yet times can change. A lot has to happen for Walter Camp’s Bulldogs to be competitive again, but I see no reason why the next fifty years won’t bring as drastic of changes to the football world as the past fifty years did. In the past couple years, for example, the advent of spread offenses have drastically lowered the contrast between top and mediocre teams.

But, really, this isn’t about football. This is about financial aid. Specifically, this is about free school.

There is little doubt that an undergraduate education at Harvard, Yale or Princeton will be essentially free within the next twenty years. A surprisingly small and ever-shrinking chunk of Ivy revenues come from tuition payments, with the vast majority coming from obscene returns on obscenely large endowments. Other types of schools—especially public schools that require state support—simply don’t have this kind of projected income stream. And it’s clear that the long-term investment focus that university presidents have afforded their investment offices has paid off. And increasingly, Ivy League schools are responding to student and alumni pressure by greatly increasing financial aid. And in some cases, as in Yale’s School of Music, making education within specific schools totally free. It certainly seems to be the case that—at the very least—the Ivies will take the policy of “you only pay if it doesn’t hurt.”

Right now, money runs the college football world, and State U is willing to put money into it. Good football provides decent returns to investment, so the Louisiana Department of Education is willing to carve $2.8 million every year from a cash-strapped budget to pay Les Miles to lead their program. Another $6.5 million annually flows from the State of Louisiana to fund athletic scholarships. This isn’t an obscene amount of money, but it is breaking rules the Ivies won’t break—namely, providing merit-based scholarships. And it provides the impetus for good football players to choose LSU over other schools.

However, the Ivies don’t seem to have a problem favoring athletic ability in their Byzantine admissions process. The main problem has always been money—if Joe Quarterback has a 1200 (err—a 1900 or whatever a 1200 is these days) on his SAT and has to choose between a Harvard diploma and a shot at the NFL by going to State, it might be a hard choice. Until, of course, you think about the money—going to Harvard and graduating with thousands in debt, or taking the scholarship at State.

But if Harvard is free, the choice gets a little cloudier. Especially if dozens struggling with the decision before him have already chosen Harvard, gaining at least scant attention from NFL scouts. And if Harvard essentially has a school-wide full-ride scholarship, the Ivies should be unceremoniously dumped out of Division I-AA, likely returning to the mix as a full-fledged NCAA FBS competitor. After all, the League’s main argument against competing right now is that it is unfair to play against teams with athletic scholarships. Well, problem solved.

And if the Ivies are in the Division I-A recruiting mix, they should be able to make up for at least some of what they won’t have—top coaches and facilities—by relying on uniqueness, history and prestige. In other words, the same things that have been winning “academic recruits” over to their side for the past two centuries. And after all—there are a bunch of schools with great workout facilities and highly-paid coaches. But there’s only one Yale.


Anonymous said...

As you may know Congress is looking into forcing Universities to spend a minimum percent of their endowments which might bring this along faster.
Somewhat related - it will be very interesting to see what Tommy Amaker does as Harvard's basketball coach. He's got a great background - having played and assisted Coach K at Duke. Harvard plays for a chance at the NCAA tournament and several Ivy League players have made it in the NBA. It only takes a few good players to do well in basketball too, unlike the legions needed for football.

Anonymous said...

you did not mention Ohio State

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عندما يكون المال شحيحًا ، قد يكون من المغري تأجيل صيانة السيارة. ومع ذلك ، إذا قمت بذلك ، فإنك تخاطر بتكبد فواتير أكبر بكثير في المستقبل.

تكلفة الخدمة أقل بكثير من تكلفة استبدال الأجزاء لاحقًا بسبب التلف الناجم عن سوء الصيانة. على سبيل المثال:

استبدال المحرك من 2499

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الحفاظ على يقظتك على الحدبة.
راجع دليل المالك الخاص بك لمعرفة متى يجب استبدال حزام الحدبات (حزام محرك عمود الكامات أو حزام التوقيت).

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قد يبدو استبدال Cambelt مكلفًا (قد يصل إلى 250 أو أكثر) ، ولكن إذا فشل أثناء القيادة ، فقد يتسبب ذلك في تلف المحرك الخطير الذي سيكلف إصلاحه أكثر بكثير من استبداله عند التوصية به.

حافظ على إطارات سيارتك

لن توفر لك العناية بإطارات سيارتك المال فحسب ، بل ستحافظ أيضًا على سلامتك على الطريق. إذا كانت إطاراتك في حالة سيئة ، فقد تنفجر على طريق مزدحم أو تفقد قوة الجر في الأحوال الجوية السيئة ، مما يؤدي إلى حدوث تصادم.

اتبع توصيات ضغط الإطارات في دليل المالك الخاص بك وتحقق منها بشكل منتظم. الإطارات التي هي فوق أو تحت الضغط تتآكل بشكل غير متساو ويجب استبدالها عاجلاً.

سبب آخر للتآكل غير المتساوي للإطارات هو التتبع خارج المحاذاة ، والذي يمكن فحصه وإصلاحه في أي مرآب.

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يلعب نظام المياه دورًا مهمًا للغاية أثناء إنشاء مسكن جديد لأننا نحتاج إلى الماء لكل ضجة. يكون المنزل المجهز تجهيزًا جيدًا والمفروش جيدًا غير مكتمل إذا لم يكن مزينًا بنظام المياه الأساسي للغاية. مع هذا العدد المتزايد من السكان ونقص الموارد ، تحاول العديد من المنازل أن تصبح أكثر اكتفاءً ذاتيًا من خلال تركيب المزيد والمزيد من الملحقات اللازمة للحياة اليومية ومضخات المياه هي واحدة من بينها. يوجد نوعان رئيسيان من المضخات المتوفرة في السوق والتي تخدم أغراضًا معاكسة تمامًا ، وهما:

1. مضخات الآبار الضحلة هي في الأساس مضخات ذات مستوى ضخ ضحل ويتم تركيبها لنقل المياه من البئر إلى نظام مياه آخر عبر الأنابيب. مجهزة بمحرك كهربائي بقوة حصان متفاوتة تقرر قدرتها على ضخ المياه. على سبيل المثال ، مضخة الآبار الضحلة التجارية Fe Myers HJ100S بقوة 1 حصان ، مضخة الآبار الضحلة سلسلة Fe Myers HJ75S HJ 3/4 'HP ، مضخة الآبار الضحلة Fe Myers HR50S HJ Series 1/2' HP ، STA-Rite SNC-L Shallow Well مضخة نفاثة 1 / 2HP 115 / 230V ، STA-Rite SND-L مضخة نفاثة ضحلة بشكل جيد 3 / 4HP 115 / 230V وغيرها الكثير. تأتي كل هذه المضخات ببعض الميزات الفريدة التي تميزها عن بعضها البعض مثل مفتاح ضغط D مزدوج التعديل ، وعلبة من الحديد الزهر شديد التحمل وقوس محرك ، وشاشة أولية ، وحلقة ارتداء المكره المصنوعة من الفولاذ المقاوم للصدأ ، وعلبة مضخة من الحديد الزهر ، وناشر من الفولاذ المقاوم للصدأ ارتداء الخاتم الخ.

2. تستخدم مضخات نزح المياه لإزالة الماء من أي سطح مستو بمساعدة محرك كهربائي. قليل من أفضل مضخات نزح المياه المتوفرة في السوق هي مضخة Zoeller 95070 لنزع المياه - Floor Sucking II ، Zoeller 95077 مضخة الصرف الصحي ونزح المياه - Waste-Mate ، Zoeller 95078 مضخة الصرف الصحي ونزح المياه - Waste-Mate ، Zoeller 95080 Transfer Pump - Mighty Mover. تتميز مضخات نزح المياه هذه بتفريغ 2 'NPT ، وعلبة التبديل ، والمحرك ، وغطاء المضخة والقاعدة من الحديد الزهر ، ووصلة خرطوم الحديقة ، ومضخة النقل ، وسلك طاقة 3 شقوق 9 بوصة ، ومحرك حماية من الحمل الزائد الحراري عالي الجودة ، إلخ ، ويمكن استخدامه في الداخل مثل وكذلك في الهواء الطلق.

يمكنك إلقاء نظرة في جميع أنحاء المدينة لمعرفة أحدث مجموعة من مضخات المياه المتاحة تحت العديد من العلامات التجارية ولكن قد يكون ذلك محمومًا بعض الشيء. خيار آخر هو محاولة العثور على أفضل رفيق لمنزلك عبر الإنترنت. بمجرد أن تبدأ في استكشاف الإنترنت ، ستجد مجموعة كبيرة من مضخات المياه المصممة خصيصًا للاحتياجات المنزلية ، بعضها لضخ المياه من الآبار وبعضها لامتصاص المياه من مياه الصرف الصحي بالمنزل. في كلتا الحالتين ، أثبتت مضخات المياه أنها مفيدة للغاية.

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